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North America Aviation Fuel Market Synopsis:

North America Aviation Fuel Market Size Was Valued at USD 65.23 Billion in 2023, and is Projected to Reach USD 104.72 Billion by 2032, Growing at a CAGR of 5.4% From 2024-2032.

The North American aviation fuel market is characterized by a robust infrastructure and a significant demand driven by the region's extensive air travel network. Major airlines, including Delta Air Lines and American Airlines, operate from some of the busiest airports globally, such as Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport and Los Angeles International Airport.

This high volume of air traffic necessitates a reliable supply of aviation fuel to ensure efficient operations. The market is influenced by various factors, including fluctuations in crude oil prices, environmental regulations, and advancements in fuel efficiency technologies. As the industry adapts to sustainability challenges, the role of alternative fuels, particularly sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs), is becoming increasingly critical

A notable instance reflecting the shift towards sustainable practices in the aviation sector is United Airlines' agreement with Neste for sustainable aviation fuel. This agreement allows United to purchase up to 52.5 million gallons over three years, marking a significant step in integrating SAF into their operations.

The government initiatives, such as the U.S. Energy Department's strategy to boost SAF production, highlight the growing emphasis on reducing carbon emissions within the aviation industry. These developments indicate a trend towards a more sustainable future for aviation fuel in North America, driven by both corporate responsibility and regulatory pressures.

Despite the push for alternative fuels, conventional aviation fuels remain dominant due to their established supply chains and cost competitiveness. The North American market benefits from substantial domestic crude oil reserves, facilitating a steady supply of conventional fuel. This infrastructure includes refineries, pipelines, and storage facilities tailored for aviation fuel distribution.

North America Aviation Fuel Market - Size & Upcoming Industry Trends 2024-2032

North America Aviation Fuel Market Growth and Trend Analysis:

Increasing Air Passenger Traffic

  • The North American aviation fuel market is significantly driven by the rising number of air passengers. As air travel becomes more accessible due to competitive pricing and improved economic conditions, the demand for aviation fuel is expected to surge. In 2021, commercial airlines in North America carried approximately 4.54 billion passengers, a figure that reflects a 5.58% increase from the previous year. This upward trend in passenger numbers indicates a robust recovery post-COVID-19, contributing to the overall growth of the aviation fuel market as airlines require more fuel to accommodate the increasing flight frequency and capacity.
  • Projections suggest that air passenger numbers could reach around 8.2 billion globally by 2037, with North America poised to hold a significant share of this growth. This anticipated increase not only highlights the resilience of the aviation sector but also underscores the critical need for a stable supply of aviation fuel to support expanding operations. As airlines continue to invest in fleet expansion and modernization, the demand for aviation fuel will remain a key driver in shaping market dynamics.

Volatile Fuel Prices

  • The aviation industry is heavily reliant on crude oil, and fluctuations in oil prices can significantly affect operational costs for airlines. High and unpredictable fuel prices can lead to increased operating expenses, which may compel airlines to adjust ticket prices or reduce flight frequencies to maintain profitability. Such measures can subsequently impact passenger demand and overall market growth.
  • Geopolitical factors, natural disasters, and changes in regulatory policies can further exacerbate price volatility. For instance, disruptions in oil supply chains due to conflicts or environmental regulations aimed at reducing carbon emissions can lead to sudden spikes in fuel costs. Consequently, airlines often face challenges in budgeting and financial planning, making it difficult to sustain growth amidst fluctuating fuel prices.

Adoption of Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs)

  • The growing emphasis on sustainability presents a significant opportunity for the North American aviation fuel market through the adoption of sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs). As environmental concerns gain prominence, both consumers and regulatory bodies are pushing for greener alternatives in air travel. SAFs offer a viable solution by reducing greenhouse gas emissions compared to traditional fossil fuels. Major airlines are increasingly investing in SAF partnerships and agreements to meet sustainability goals while enhancing their corporate responsibility profiles.
  • For example, United Airlines has signed agreements for substantial SAF purchases as part of its commitment to reducing its carbon footprint. The U.S. government is also supporting initiatives aimed at ramping up SAF production through funding and research programs. This alignment between airline strategies and governmental support creates a fertile ground for innovation and investment in SAF technologies, positioning the North American aviation fuel market for growth in sustainable practices while addressing climate change challenges effectively.

North America Aviation Fuel Market Segment Analysis:

North America Aviation Fuel Market is segmented based on Type, Aircraft Type, End-users, and Country

By Type, Conventional Fuel-Air Turbine Fuel segment is set to dominate the market

  • The Conventional Fuel-Air Turbine Fuel dominates the North American aviation fuel market due to its established infrastructure and widespread usage in commercial aviation. Air turbine fuel (ATF) is the primary fuel type used in jet engines, making it essential for the operation of commercial airlines, which are the largest consumers of aviation fuel.
  • The reliability and performance characteristics of conventional fuels have made them the preferred choice for airlines, especially as they aim to maintain operational efficiency and safety standards. With commercial aviation accounting for a significant portion of total operating costs over 20% attributed to fuel airlines heavily rely on ATF to meet their operational demands.
  • The availability of conventional fuel is supported by a robust supply chain that includes refineries, storage facilities, and distribution networks across North America. This infrastructure ensures that airlines can access the necessary quantities of fuel to support their operations without interruption.

By Application, The Fixed Wing segment accounted for the largest share in 2023

  • The Fixed Wing segment dominates the aviation fuel market primarily due to its extensive use in commercial and military aviation. Fixed-wing aircraft, including commercial airliners and cargo planes, account for the majority of air travel and freight transportation globally.
  • This segment benefits from a well-established infrastructure that supports the operation and maintenance of these aircraft, ensuring a consistent demand for aviation fuel. With major airlines investing heavily in new, fuel-efficient fixed-wing aircraft to meet rising passenger traffic, the need for reliable and high-quality aviation fuel remains crucial.
  • The fixed-wing segment's dominance is reinforced by its critical role in international travel and logistics. As global air traffic continues to recover and expand post-pandemic, fixed-wing aircraft are poised to remain the backbone of the aviation industry.
  • The ongoing advancements in aircraft technology aimed at improving fuel efficiency and reducing emissions further enhance the attractiveness of this segment. Thus, as air travel demand escalates, the Fixed Wing segment is expected to maintain its leading position in the aviation fuel market.

North America Aviation Fuel Market Regional Insights:

  • In 2023, U.S. airlines consumed approximately 1.678 billion gallons of aviation fuel in July, reflecting a 5.0% increase from June 2023. This consumption level also marked a slight rise of 0.1% compared to pre-pandemic levels in July 2019. The average cost per gallon of fuel during this period was $2.48, which represented a 2.3% increase from the previous month and a notable 25.0% increase from July 2019. Total fuel expenditure for July 2023 reached $4.16 billion, up 7.4% from June 2023 and up 25.1% from the same month in 2019, indicating a robust recovery in air travel and associated fuel demand as passenger volumes continued to rise.
  • Throughout the year, U.S. jet fuel consumption averaged around 1.65 million barrels per day, although this figure remained about 5% below the pre-pandemic peak experienced in 2019. The increase in fuel consumption was attributed to a resurgence in airline passenger travel, which consistently surpassed levels seen in previous years.

Active Players in the North America Aviation Fuel Market:

  • Exxon Mobil Corporation (USA)
  • Chevron Corporation (USA)
  • BP PLC (UK)
  • Shell PLC (UK)
  • TotalEnergies SE (France)
  • Honeywell International Inc (USA)
  • Valero Marketing and Supply (USA)
  • Pan American Energy S.L. (Argentina)
  • Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (USA)
  • Aemetis, Inc. (USA), and Other Active Players.

Key Industry Developments in the North America Aviation Fuel Market:

  • In September 2024, Crysalis Biosciences Inc. invested $239.5 million to develop a sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) facility in Sauget, Illinois, as part of a Reimagining Energy and Vehicles in Illinois (REV Illinois) agreement, creating at least 35 jobs while reducing the state's carbon footprint. Governor JB Pritzker and the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity (DCEO) announced the investment, highlighting Illinois’ leadership in clean energy. Crysalis repurposed a 57-acre ethanol plant to produce 5,000–10,000 barrels of low-carbon SAF daily, with a carbon intensity score 90% lower than fossil-derived jet fuel.
  • In September 2024, Fastmarkets launched its first sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) prices for the North American market, aiming to enhance transparency and stability as the US targeted a 12,000% increase in SAF output to lead the renewable fuel transition in aviation. With the aviation industry prioritizing decarbonization, Fastmarkets leveraged its expertise in feedstock markets, carbon credits, and subsidies to provide a comprehensive pricing mechanism. As new regulations, including the EU’s 2025 SAF mandate and US low-carbon tax credits, drove demand, Fastmarkets positioned itself as a key authority in SAF pricing, supporting market participants in making informed decisions.

North America Aviation Fuel Market

Base Year:

2023

Forecast Period:

2024-2032

Historical Data:

2017 to 2023

Market Size in 2023:

USD 65.23 Bn.

Forecast Period 2024-32 CAGR:

5.4%

Market Size in 2032:

USD 104.72 Bn.

Segments Covered:

By Type

  • Conventional Fuel-Air Turbine Fuel
  • Avgas
  • Sustainable Fuel- Biofuel
  • Hydrogen Fuel
  • Power-To-Liquid
  • Gas-To-Liquid

By Aircraft Type

  • Fixed Wing
  • Rotary Wing
  • Unmanned Aerial Vehicle

By End User

  • Commercial
  • Private
  • Military

By Country

  • U.S., Canada, Mexico

Key Market Drivers:

  • Increasing Air Passenger Traffic

Key Market Restraints:

  • Volatile Fuel Prices

Key Opportunities:

  • Adoption of Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs)

Companies Covered in the report:

  • Exxon Mobil Corporation (USA), Chevron Corporation (USA), BP PLC (UK), Shell PLC (UK), and Other Active Players.
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The forecast period in the North America Aviation Fuel Market research report is 2024-2032.

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